tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post5737288027714935898..comments2023-09-15T04:27:57.129-04:00Comments on Commentarama: Race for the Senate. . .AndrewPricehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comBlogger29125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-71332196128030873162010-02-01T16:38:36.639-05:002010-02-01T16:38:36.639-05:00Bev, Maybe you'd like to give us an election p...Bev, Maybe you'd like to give us an election primer on New York? :-)AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-81766615867187981852010-02-01T16:06:39.378-05:002010-02-01T16:06:39.378-05:00Bev, thanks for the insight. That is encouraging....Bev, thanks for the insight. That is encouraging. If only half of them could go after Schumer, too. It's amazing to me that he gets re-elected all the time.Writer Xhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16505411188186283813noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-3110701546800148562010-02-01T15:12:35.291-05:002010-02-01T15:12:35.291-05:00Writer X: All the Repub candidates are gunning for...Writer X: All the Repub candidates are gunning for Gillibrand in NY because she's the easy target right now. King has raised his profile with his stance against the NYC terrorist trials and defunding the same. Unlike our Johnny Come Lately Sen. Schumer, King has been against the trials from the beginning. It's a hard call since we have the unusual situation of having to elect both of our Senators.BevfromNYChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14953050916932306270noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-51334247316152488872010-02-01T11:21:58.556-05:002010-02-01T11:21:58.556-05:00Ellie D, Welcome! I hope someone beats Bayh. We ...Ellie D, Welcome! I hope someone beats Bayh. We don't officially endorse candidates, but I wish him luck and I hope that we grab that seat! That would be fantastic!AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-88563276237022222022010-02-01T11:08:42.774-05:002010-02-01T11:08:42.774-05:00State Senator Marlin Stutzman is the most conserva...State Senator Marlin Stutzman is the most conservative, qualified, yet fresh new face to Indiana's Senate Race. <br /><br />Just like Scott Brown, the polls show him within striking distance of Sen. Evan Bayh and unlike the other candidates, he has no baggage that Bayh can use against him. He's a farmer and small business owner who has been endorsed by major Right to Life groups and has served a couple terms in the State House and is serving his first term in the State Senate.<br /><br />Please sign up to help Marlin Stutzman by donating, volunteering, and/or recruiting people. <br /><br />We can beat Bayh this year, and Marlin Stutzman is our Scott Brown-type campaigner!Ellie D.noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-33970374957894462712010-02-01T01:37:53.020-05:002010-02-01T01:37:53.020-05:00Thanks Writer X. The magic number for retirement ...Thanks Writer X. The magic number for retirement seems to be 22% -- the two sentors who gave up were both down more than 22% when they suddenly decided that it was time to move on.<br /><br />I don't know if King could beat Schumer -- I'm not in tune enough with New York, but he was outpolling Gillibrand. That's the easy seat for a pick up. I haven't seen anything saying that Schumer is in trouble.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-88714647288500259622010-02-01T01:27:46.902-05:002010-02-01T01:27:46.902-05:00Excellent analysis, Andrew.
I wonder if Rep. Pe...Excellent analysis, Andrew. <br /><br />I wonder if Rep. Peter King is a big enough name to challenge Schumer? I've been very impressed with him the last 6-8 months or so. It would be sweet karma to see Schumer lose.<br /><br />I don't see Reid retiring. His ego is too big. There have been calls in AZ for McCain to retire; he won't. His ego is way too big too.Writer Xhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16505411188186283813noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-71897847670748011182010-01-31T21:31:45.123-05:002010-01-31T21:31:45.123-05:00Pitts, I agree about Dodd. . . very annoying. Sti...Pitts, I agree about Dodd. . . very annoying. Still, I don't think we need to worry about Reid or Lincoln. First, both seem intent on saving themselves (they are spending a ton of money) -- so I can't see them quitting.<br /><br />Secondly, those are generally conservative states, so taking out the Democratic incumbent would not result in a better situation for the Democrats like it did in highly Democratic Connecticut.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-6160300308289011442010-01-31T21:28:15.578-05:002010-01-31T21:28:15.578-05:00I know I should be focusing on the positive news t...I know I should be focusing on the positive news that we'll very likely be picking up many seats, but I can't help being irked by the Chris Dodd situation. Should we be worried about other vulnerable Democrats (such as Reid or Lincoln) dropping out and being replaced with formidable challengers?<br /><br />As for Benedict Arlen Specter, we here in PA will do our parts to hammer the final nail in the coffin.Pittsburgh Enigmahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06452716444698202766noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-25789831367829259692010-01-31T17:49:46.505-05:002010-01-31T17:49:46.505-05:00Andrew: I have hopey-hope, they have dopey-hope.Andrew: I have hopey-hope, they have dopey-hope.LawHawkRFDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17800255923675295515noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-86393390377393915362010-01-31T17:47:01.866-05:002010-01-31T17:47:01.866-05:00Lawhawk, You want hope? And no doubt change? Hmm...Lawhawk, You want hope? And no doubt change? Hmmm. Who's side are you on?AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-14072346666638477542010-01-31T17:46:07.740-05:002010-01-31T17:46:07.740-05:00Bev, I hope they get this sorted out fast. Gillib...Bev, I hope they get this sorted out fast. Gillibrand's seat in particular is ripe for the plucking, but they need to get a strong candidate. Getting one of the two seats in NY would be a huge victory for the Republicans.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-26125925308599429672010-01-31T16:35:07.076-05:002010-01-31T16:35:07.076-05:00Weighing in for NY - Rick Lazio is cosidering a se...Weighing in for NY - Rick Lazio is cosidering a second run at the Senate against Gillibrand. Lazio ran against Clinton at the last minute when Guiliani dropped out 2002. He didn't have a prayer because of time restraints. However, this time he would be running against an increasingly unpopular appointed Senator who's nickname is now "Tweety Bird" for being Schumer's little parrot. <br /><br />Also well known R's Rep. Peter King (led the charge to move and not fund NYC terror trials) and Former Gov. George Pataki are testing the waters too. By April the candidate should be clear.<br /><br />Ammunition is being gathered against Schumer as well. His late in the game about face on the NYC terrorist trials and hard line on Healthcare and Wall Street issues that clearly would be bad for NY State could be his Achilles heel if he has a viable challenger.BevfromNYChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14953050916932306270noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-43415861733050254592010-01-31T16:24:59.500-05:002010-01-31T16:24:59.500-05:00Andrew: See? I toldja so. There's a lot yet...Andrew: See? I toldja so. There's a lot yet to assume, but those polls look really good. Even if Campbell is outside the margin of error in the general election (assuming he gets that far), it will all come down to "how energized are the Democrats?" Right now, they ain't. In fact, they're demoralized, and the momentum is in our favor. Independents will make the decision, much like in Massachusetts. Assuming that the Obamists don't learn their lesson, and nothing big happens that makes them look good, I have very positive thoughts about Campbell's chances. That's a lot to assume, of course, with over nine months to go to the general election. But gee, allow a guy a little hope.LawHawkRFDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17800255923675295515noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-38994604121805231002010-01-31T14:44:23.583-05:002010-01-31T14:44:23.583-05:00Update: For those of you interesting the Californ...<i><b>Update</b></i>: For those of you interesting the California race (and you know who you are), we received a couple polls this morning: a <a href="http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2322.pdf" rel="nofollow">Field Poll</a> and a <a href="http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_110MBS.pdf" rel="nofollow">PPIC Poll</a>, which show that Campbell now has a significant lead over Carly Fiorina.<br /><br />Unfortunately, the Field Poll shows that Boxer has a larger lead over each of the Republicans than the Rasmussen Poll showed, though Campbell continues to do the best (Boxer 48% to Campbell 38%).<br /><br />The PPIC poll, however, shows Boxer with a similar lead to the one shown by Rasmussen (Boxer 45% to Campbell 41%).<br /><br />That means Boxer still leads, but anything below 50% at this point is not a good sign for an incumbent.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-87549465869319351942010-01-31T14:29:16.043-05:002010-01-31T14:29:16.043-05:00Lawhawk, I hope I am surprised, but California see...Lawhawk, I hope I am surprised, but California seems to have become a really insane place. I'll keep my fingers crossed for a "California Miracle"!AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-9930527515164468732010-01-31T14:27:57.709-05:002010-01-31T14:27:57.709-05:00Jed, I agree. They've show no signs of giving...Jed, I agree. They've show no signs of giving the public a mea culpa and promising to stop doing stupid things -- instead, they seem intent on speeding up their stupidity. That will only make their problems worse.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-5633795224435384172010-01-31T14:22:57.898-05:002010-01-31T14:22:57.898-05:00Andrew: We all might be surprised. The Republica...Andrew: We all might be surprised. The Republican leadership in California has played a major role in picking lousy candidates and issues in the past. But California has a long moderate-conservative history quite unlike Massachusetts. Voters became quite disheartened because of the terrible choices, and many voted Democrat out of habit. The suburbs are Republican-leaning and the Central Valley is very Republican-conservative, and maybe they now have a choice. <br /><br />We first elected Schwarzenegger because he was a conservative, and he and Campbell together took nearly two-thirds of that recall gubernatorial vote. Wasn't that long ago. We rebelled during that crisis, and this one makes that one look like child's play. I'm not giving up on my hope that this could be the year of the California Miracle. Of course, I still have my alternate plan of moving out-of-state on active hold.LawHawkRFDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17800255923675295515noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-54007572362075836712010-01-31T14:18:58.093-05:002010-01-31T14:18:58.093-05:00What I think is particularly encouraging is that O...What I think is particularly encouraging is that Obama shows no signs of moving to the center, just spending more of our money. I doubt if any Dem.'s who are in trouble will lead the charge, but if some of the more noxious ones are prodded by their base to go idealogical on us, so much the better.<br /><br />Stan - I know you had another noun than "jerk" in mind to top off your descriptive of Feingold. I know what it is, of course, and you could not be more accurate.Tennessee Jedhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10604275115906776992noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-50240672232769038342010-01-31T14:01:40.918-05:002010-01-31T14:01:40.918-05:00Stan, Gillibrant can be beaten if the Republicans ...Stan, Gillibrant can be beaten if the Republicans can find a real candidate. Schumer I doubt.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-12350343628615148462010-01-31T14:01:02.534-05:002010-01-31T14:01:02.534-05:00Lawhawk, Getting the R is important, even if it is...Lawhawk, Getting the R is important, even if it is a moderate -- just no RINOs because they aren't loyal. I don't know much about Carly. I do know that Whitman is a true RINO and should not be trusted, but I don't know about Carly.<br /><br />In the end, I still doubt that a Republican can win in California. You all seem determined not just to stay to the left, but to go as far to the looney fringe as possible.AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-9911967251359841262010-01-31T14:00:40.289-05:002010-01-31T14:00:40.289-05:00Bab’s Boxer being bopped from the senate, would al...Bab’s Boxer being bopped from the senate, would alone make 2010 a memorable year, can’t stand her. And Russ Feingold in Wisconsin, that sanctimonious, self righteous jerk. Schumer and Gillenbrand(?) in NY …now I’m dreaming…but after MA?StanHhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07395708786509590321noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-64997678855248170162010-01-31T13:46:17.836-05:002010-01-31T13:46:17.836-05:00Andrew: It shook up the California Republican Par...Andrew: It shook up the California Republican Party leaders as well. Largely controlled by RINOs, they were sure Massachusetts would go Democrat in the end, and were in shock on election night. What I'm looking forward to is what Fiorina will do to recognize that, if anything. So far her stands have been Boxer-lite, and I don't much care for some of her past associates. She's a long way from getting any support from me (as if that matters much), but it would still be that crucial "R" I'm always talking about in the total of the two Senate caucuses.LawHawkRFDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17800255923675295515noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-64832770986866877492010-01-31T13:35:58.251-05:002010-01-31T13:35:58.251-05:00Lawhawk, From what I read, the Mass election sent ...Lawhawk, From what I read, the Mass election sent the California delegation into a tizzy. They were all over the papers talking about how if the Dems could lose at Democratic Headquarters (formerly known as Massachusetts), they could lose at the Looney Bin (formerly known as California) as well.<br /><br />How that changes the way they run isn't clear, but it clearly shook them up.<br /><br />I'd love to see Boxer replaced!AndrewPricehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11312364467936820986noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4425587034622601550.post-60247246206796534562010-01-31T13:18:13.084-05:002010-01-31T13:18:13.084-05:00Andrew: Hope for change! Yay! Very nice summary...Andrew: Hope for change! Yay! Very nice summary. I am not holding my breath, but it has been a very long time since any California Republican has gotten within the margin of error in the race against Babble Boxer. Now we have at least two. I'm putting my heart with Campbell and my money on Fiorina (for betting purposes only, not at the ballot box) in the primary. The problem is that the two conservatives draw votes away from each other, leaving the RINO free rein. <br /><br />I'm not sure how much effect the Massachusetts Miracle had on the current California polls, or if that effect will stick, but for once, at least I think my vote won't be a mere protest against the left.LawHawkRFDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17800255923675295515noreply@blogger.com