| Senate Republican Seats | Republican Governorships |
| AL: Richard C. Shelby (R) _● v. William Barnes (D)__ | R: _● D: __ Alabama |
| AK: Miller (R)__ v. McAdams (D)__ v. Murkowski (I)__ | R: _● D: __ Alaska |
| AZ: John McCain (R)_● v. Rodney Glassman (D)__ | R: _● D: __ Arizona |
| FL: Rubio (R)_● v. Crist (I)__ v. Meek (D)__ | R: __ D: _● California |
| GA: Johnny Isakson (R)_● v. Michael Thurmond (D)__ | R: __ D: _● Connecticut |
| ID: Michael D. Crapo (R)_● v. Tom Sullivan (D)__ | R: _● D: __ Florida |
| IO: Charles E. Grassley (R)_● v. Roxanne Conlin (D)__ | R: _● D: __ Georgia |
| KS: Jerry Moran (R)_● v. Lisa Johnston (D)__ | R: __ D: __ Hawaii |
| KY: Rand Paul (R)_● v. Jack Conway (D)__ | R: _● D: __ Idaho |
| LA: David Vitter (R)_● v. Charlie Melancon (D)__ | R: __ D: __ Minnesota |
| MO: Roy Blunt (R)_● v. Robin Carnahan (D)__ | R: _● D: __ Nebraska |
| OK: Tom Coburn (R)_● v. Brad Carson (D)__ | R: _● D: __ Nevada |
| NH: Kelly Ayotte (R)_● v. Paul Hodes (D)__ | R: __ D: __ Rhode Island |
| OH: Rob Portman (R)_● v. Lee Fisher (D)__ | R: _● D: __ South Carolina |
| NC: Richard Burr (R)_● v. Elaine Marshall (D)__ | R: _● D: __ South Dakota |
| SC: Jim DeMint (R)_● v. Alvin Greene (D)__ | R: _● D: __ Texas |
| SD: John Thune (R)_● v. (unopposed) __ | R: _● D: __ Utah |
| UT: Mike Lee (R)_● v. Sam Granato (D)__ | R: __ D: __ Vermont |
|
|
| Senate Democratic Seats | Democratic Governorships |
| AK: Blanche Lincoln (D)__ v. John Boozman (R)_● | R: __ D: _● Arkansas |
| CA: Barbara Boxer (D)_● v. Carly Fiorina (R)__ | R: __ D: _● Colorado |
| CO: Michael Bennet (D)__ v. Ken Buck (R)__ | R: __ D: __ Illinois |
| CT: Richard Blumenthal (D)_● v. Linda McMahon (R)__ | R: _● D: __ Iowa |
| DE: Chris Coons (D)_● v. Christine O’Donnell (R)__ | R: _● D: __ Kansas |
| HA: Daniel Inouye (D)_● v. Cam Cavasso (R)__ | R: _● D: __ Maine |
| IA: Brad Ellsworth (D)__ v. Dan Coats (R)_● | R: __ D: _● Maryland |
| IL: Alexi Giannoulias (D)__ v. Ron Kirk (R)_● | R: __ D: _● Massachusetts |
| MD: Barbara Mikulski (D)_● v. Eric Wargotz (R)__ | R: _● D: __ Michigan |
| ND: Tracy Potter (D)__ v. John Hoeven (R)_● | R: __ D: _● New Hampshire |
| NV: Harry Reid (D)_● v. Sharron Angle (R)__ | R: _● D: __ New Mexico |
| NY: Kirsten Gillibrand (D)_● v. Joe DioGuardi (R)__ | R: __ D: _● New York |
| NY: Chuck Schumer (D)_● v. Jay Townsend (R)__ | R: _● D: __ Ohio |
| OR: Ron Wyden (D)_● v. Jim Huffman (R)__ | R: _● D: __ Oklahoma |
| PA: Joe Sestak (D)__ v. Pat Toomey (R)_● | R: __ D: __ Oregon |
| VT: Patrick Leahy (D)_● v. Len Britton (R)__ | R: _● D: __ Pennsylvania |
| WA: Patty Murray (D)__ v. Dino Rossi (R)__ | R: _● D: __ Tennessee |
| WI: Russ Feingold (D)__ v. Ron Johnson (R)_● | R: _● D: __ Wisconsin |
| WV: Machin (D)_● v. Raese (R)__ | R: _● D: __ Wyoming |
|
I was first to vote at my polling place this morning.
ReplyDeleteGo Team!
i'm so excited/nervous i may puke. head's up!
ReplyDeletei'm linking this. BOOM!
ReplyDeleteI am going out on a limb (not really) and calling the Tennessee Governorship for Bill Haslam (R) and my home district for incumbant John Duncan (R) They are both far ahead in the polls. I am really hoping Scott DesJarlais will send Lincoln Davis packing with the underlying message, if you want to be considered a conservative government downsizer, then get the hell out of the Democrat/Socialist party.
ReplyDeleteMy biggest concern remains election fraud by the left
testing a sign in for easier access
ReplyDeleteOh my goodness, it's going to be a long day. I already have a headache. I'm with Patti...excited and nervous. Mostly excited. But nervous. Ugh....
ReplyDeleteBut this house/senate map is pretty awesome. So easy for people whose brains will be mush today. (Me)
I am not voting until after work today. We are using a new improved voting method which I think is going to be like an Iowa Basic Skills Test like when I was in grade school! I thought I'd let them work out the kinks before I vote.
ReplyDeleteThe "buzz" is palpable, isn't it?
Oh, and TJ - Do we have to turn you into the Election Monitor guys? Since you called your races before the polls closed, it could keep voters away! As a matter of fact, I do not see any reason why I should vote in Tennessee today...
Here we go, the first salvo in a long campaign to restore America, back towards it’s founding…let’s rock!
ReplyDeleteLawHawk: I begrudgingly congratulate you on the Giants winning the World Series! Let's hope this is the last win for Pelosi today...
ReplyDeleteSo here's a last-minute prediction I'm making: First off, the House. I think 50 seats is absolutely a floor at this point, and almost certainly too low. There are 40+ tossups out there, and I don't think it's unreasonable to say we'll win the vast majority of those. So I'm going with 80 seats, plus or minus 5 (probably plus).
ReplyDeleteAs for the Senate, I think a 51-seat majority is in range, and here's how: The Republicans should keep all their current 41 seats (I was worried about AK, but I think Joe Miller's finally going to pull it out). AR, IN, and ND are GOP locks at this point, and WI and PA are likely pickups as well, despite some narrowing in the latter, so that's 46. NV, CO, and IL are gonna be close, but we're up in those races, so after deducting all the votes cast by dead people in alphabetical order, that should get us to 49.
Now the tricky part: we'd need to win 2 of these 5--CA, CT, DE, WA, and WV. In short, I really don't believe any of the polling from WV showing Manchin up, because it doesn't make sense. I think Raese will win there. As to WA, I know Andrew's skeptical, but that state does most of its voting by mail, and as of a day or two ago, those who had already returned their ballots were breaking for Rossi by several points, a larger margin than those who hadn't voted yet. So if they don't "discover" some Murray votes stuffed in someone's car, we can win there too. CA's doable, but close, and then CT and DE are unlikely. However, if for some reason O'Donnell pulls off an upset in spite of everything we've been told about that state, all bets are off.
Is it wrong that it's not even 11:00 am on the east coast and I'm already making popcorn for tonight??
ReplyDeleteWheeeeeeeeeeeeeee...........
hubby and I voted this morning! Practically first ones!
ReplyDeleteWhat stations are ya'll watching tonight? (tee-hee)
I'm going to watch MSNBC 'cause I want to watch Keith Olberman's head explode or be carried away in a straitjack drooling...
ReplyDeleteI'm listening to a Mississippi radio talk-show right now, and the host said that when he voted this morning, he was in line for an hour; he saw more people there than in 2008. Granted, there were only three voting machines (!)
ReplyDeleteAlso, at least one county apparently didn't have party affiliation listed on the ballot. They're saying it was a mistake that's being fixed now. We'll see.
Wow, I oversleep a bit and everyone beats me to the site! LOL!
ReplyDeleteWatch the map today folks, we will do our best to update it!
(FYI, the light blue dot represents the majority in the House.)
This is going to be a great day!!!
i went to vote this morning and in texas it's a crisp fall day, which means there is an altogether different buzz in the air. mix that with this momentous day, folks are giddy. as i got closer to the polling place, a woman asked how i was doing, and i said, "it's a great day for freedom!"
ReplyDeleteUSArtguy -- Excellent! Isn't it a great feeling? I voted early and it honestly felt good to slide that ballot into the box.
ReplyDeletePatti, Thanks for the link!
Jed, I can't imagine Tennessee not swinging back to the (R) column. The (D)'s have shown they are out of touch with the South. . . the West. . . the country!
Yep, more cases rolling in here in MS of people now in at least a half-dozen counties--most of them here in Childers' district, still a close race--getting ballots with no party affiliation listed next to the name, or worse, in my county, they all had "Non-Partisan" listed next to the names. Election fraud?...
ReplyDeleteBev, me too. And good old Rachel!!(it took me a long time to find my channel guide--but I have it now.)
ReplyDeleteTam, I'm glad you like it! It took a while, but it should work nicely when the result come in. We're going to keep changing the dots, and the dividers should help everyone see what's going on. When the bright blue dot turns Red, then it's party time!
ReplyDeleteBev, Excellent logic! FYI, we could call John Thune's race too, but we'll hold off until it's official! ;-)
T_Rav, Good predicitons. I'm actually starting to think we might win West Virginia. That will be interesting. And you're right, if we win DE, then all bets are off everywhere! In Washington, I saw that Rossi won the 3rd grader poll, which is usually telling. We'll see! :-)
ReplyDeleteCrispy, It's not wrong at all!
CrisD, I think we're going to watch Fox because no one here can stand the others.
Patti, To quote Barackolypse Now: "I love the smell of ballots in the morning."
ReplyDeleteT-Rav, It sounds like fraud to me. I understand mistakes, but it's amazing when the mistakes always seem to happen in one direction. Of course, the voters on our side are more informed, so this may backfire on them!
Bev & CrisD, You'll have to keep us informed!
Bev: I sent congratulations to all my old friends in San Francisco. One of them replied with "does this mean you're coming over to our side on Tuesday?" My simple reply was "ARE YOU NUTS?!?!"
ReplyDeleteWe had more folks in our precinct polling place first hing this AM than I think came total for the last election.
ReplyDeleteDoes that say people have had enough and are wanting change?
It is an encouraging sign and with great anticipation that I wait for results to start pouring in. I'll let you know how my run for our District Board progresses as I find out.
From what I'm seeing of turnout so far today, it looks like it's trending very heavy in Republican districts and very light in Democratic ones. A lot of inner-city precincts were reporting this morning that practically no one was showing up to vote. Same goes for the bluest parts of a lot of swing districts. This is the sort of thing that makes me think an 80- to 90-seat pickup might very well be in range.
ReplyDeleteT_Rav, I'm seeing that too.
ReplyDeleteAlso, Chris Matthews's head apparently already exploded. He went off on Obama about how he never lived up to his promise, etc. etc.
I guess Chris lost that "tingly feeling". Though I have to say in Obama's defense (yes, in his defense!) no one could have ever live up to the hype that Chris and his ilk created. Not even Jesus.
ReplyDeleteWhat do you think about live blogging the pity party press conference tomorrow?
ReplyDeleteWhat I think is going to happen is happening. This is going to be bigger than we ever thought.
ReplyDeleteMy hope is 123 in house; clean sweep in senate; and 37 governors.
My prediction is 90+ in house; 12 in Senate; and 35 governors.
Bev, I agree with that, but Obama encouraged it. He played coy on his views and he let every little leftist fill in the blanks.
ReplyDeleteTam, The live blog stuff was too much work, it also was becoming unworkable once we started getting past 3-4 people. We could put up an open thread?
Joel, I heard that even Gallup today said that the generic poll hit 15% in their last test -- that could mean 150 seats (though they predict only "at least 55.")
ReplyDeleteI am seeing hints of huge voter turn out in the right places and almost no voter turn out in the right places. This is going to be very interesting.
I heard that too, Andrew. I also heard that was based upon a large turnout of Democrats. Smaller turnout of dems = 20% Republican advantage.
ReplyDeleteI also heard that Coons is starting to sweat bullets. The turnout he needs to win in his county (NewCastle) is not there.
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2010/11/02/coons-camp-expresses-turnout-worries/
Right now it isn't pretty.
I wonder if Tancredo can pull it out?
Joel, I honestly have no idea. The polls have been all over the place and with two Republicans running, it's just too hard to tell. Plus, Denver is just so large compared to the rest of the state, and they will turn out to support Hickenlooper. So I just don't know. . . but I'm hoping.
ReplyDeleteopen thread sounds good...that's too bad the live blog forum is too cumbersome. Oh well!
ReplyDeleteMy polling place was pretty dead this afternoon, and I'm in very BLUE Pittsburgh. It's never all that crowded, but I usually see a few people by the time I'm in and out. But I was the only one there today (in the space of about 10 minutes) at 12:20pm.
ReplyDeleteAlso, there weren't any people hanging out outside the polling place. This is odd, because there are always Dems there handing out candidate info or at least welcoming people. No one today. It was eerily quiet.
For what it's worth, the news on the radio this afternoon has been saying "larger than expected turn-out across Pennsylvania." Of course, as I noted, I'm not seeing that at all in my very BLUE district.
Tam, Yeah, it's too bad because it worked great in principle, but it just had too many flaws. We'll get an open thread! :-)
ReplyDeletePitts, That is a great sign -- especially if they couldn't find people to "man the polls." That means the activists aren't even turning out. Wow that sounds like good news!
3:00 hours people till the first results start coming in!!!
Polling places around me in Phoenix are heavier than usual; however, many people (including myself) voted early.
ReplyDeleteMy champagne is being chilled as we speak. I'll also be happy to provide the bottomless virtual martini pitchers for later for Commentarama.
I remain cautiously optimistic, particularly for Arizona but nothing would give me greater pleasure than seeing Harry Reid get a boot in his a$$ from Nevada.
Writer X, I'm pulling for Arizona to do the right thing, and I suspect that a heavy voter turn out is bad for the Democrats. . . but we'll see.
ReplyDeleteMy wife and I just voted. And there were a lot of people voting for a midterm. Now I live in a district that goes 87 to 92% Republican every election, so for local races nothing is in doubt. I suppose the big thing for Georgia will be the governor, a particularly nasty race, with two uninspiring candidates but the Republican will win, and our Senator who is up this time will win as well Isakson. If anything interesting happen I let you know.
ReplyDeleteGreat Stan! We're hearing a lot about high voter turn out in Republican areas... and as Pitts said, low voter turnout in Democratic areas.
ReplyDeleteI don't want to jump the gun on this, but I'm really starting to think we're going to see the high end of our expectations realized. Turnout is still running very favorable for us and very unfavorable for the Dems. Plus, folks like Hot Air were saying that if the official pollsters (e.g. Gallup) held steady this week with their optimistic predictions from last week, we were looking at a blowout. Not only has that very thing happened, they've actually ratcheted it up a bit yesterday and over the course of this morning. I don't want to claim victory just yet...but...I'm getting very antsy.
ReplyDeleteJoel, I don't know about you, but if Christine wins in Delaware tonight, I might just faint. Also, once I regain consciousness, I'm calling the whole Senate for the Republicans on the spot.
ReplyDeleteT_Rav, I hate to set us up for possible disappointment, but you could be right. I wrote a thing a while back in which I talked about how Micheal Barone (who is a wiz at elections) explained what the differences in the generic ballot meant. He said that the levels we were at, at that point, indicated a 110 seat shift. And the numbers have only gotten better since then. Add in the enthusiasm gap that seems be baring out in the absentee ballots and the poll attendance, and we could be looking at something truly historic!
ReplyDeleteOf course, people are just now getting off work and we won't know how that affects turn out.
But dang is this an exciting day!
YEY Writer X!!! I cannot WAIT for your bottomless martinis! Can I get mine with a twist? Just thought I get my order in early 'cause it's gonna be a looongg night.
ReplyDeleteI am going to vote now, so I will let everyone know how my polling place is. And if i pass the Iowa Basic Skills Voting Method. This should be fun!
WARNING: Don't be disappointed because NY Senate and Gov races are the the only sure thing for Democrats.
Good luck Bev! We look forward to your report.
ReplyDeleteIt is, Andrew! I've gotta go now, cause I have an Election Party to prepare for. Be back once stuff starts rolling in.
ReplyDelete6:00 p.m. ET and the polls are closing in most of Kentucky and Indiana. It's Zero Hour, folks!
WAAAAAAAAA!!!
ReplyDeleteI have class tonight!! I am soooo bummed! I was really hoping the prof would have her baby at the right time so we'd have tonight off, but - nope! Just like a Canadian import! ;)
so, think of me this evening as I am squirming in class while we discuss "altruism". < sigh >
rlaWTX, There's nothing to gain from altruism. ;-) We'll be thinking about you.
ReplyDeleteT_Rav, Good luck with the parties.
Bev,
ReplyDeleteYes, twists, olives, seconds--all will be available tonight. :-)
FYI: Exit polling on Drudge at the moment is looking pretty positive for Republicans. Shows Feingold losing to Johnson in Wisconsin. That will be sweet. Another arrogant politician getting the boot. Lincoln, too, in Arkansas. Bring it!
Woo hoo! We have our first projection of a Republican take over in Indiana. Time to update our board!
ReplyDeletePolls just closed in my part of Indiana (the timeline between Central and Eastern is about an hour's drive east from me). Let the Dem wailing and gnashing of teeth begin! Mwuhahahahahah!
ReplyDeleteIt's a great feeling isn't it USArtguy?
ReplyDeleteCome on people! Project more races!!!
ReplyDeleteOkay, so I voted and passed the Iowa Basics Skills Voting test. Only problem is that if you are elderly or infirmed, the voting sheets are REAL problem. There were alot of people there and actually some lines! There are about 8 districts that vote in our polling place. But as usual, no line in my district. I sat on the stairs and filled out my ballot. It was kind of like a HS student council election! But thankfully no chaos. The monitor where I scanned my ballot said there had been 498 ballots counted and 598 projected. That is not that great for an areas with about 100K people. We will see at 9pm when the polls close here.
ReplyDeleteCT and NJ should be coming in shortly.
Alan Grayson is currently getting 29% of the vote in his district.
ReplyDelete(pause)
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAAAAA!!!!!!
T_Rav, Hilarious!
ReplyDeleteBev, Excellent -- low turn out is good! Did you see Pelosi assure us that they would keep the ballot? LOL!
RUBIO WINS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
ReplyDeleteWell, we've picked up a Senate seat. All hail Aqua Buddha! LOL
ReplyDeleteI just walked in the door coming back from myu kid's swim class. My sister told me that Rachel Maddow's head exploded already. Hee hee. Polls are still open in AZ, I drove by a few polling places on the way to swim. The parking lots were pretty full, but there weren't a lot of people coming and going. The ticker on Fox looks good so far, but I saw something that said things are looking good for Reid. Wah. Too early to give up hope...
ReplyDeleteRubio projected to win in Florida = Keith Olberman
ReplyDeleteAiyotte in NH
Mikulski in Maryland
Shelby in Alabama
Coburn in OK
Toomey/Sestak too close to call
Illinois too early to call
Missouri - Too early to call
Blumenthal is leading in CT
Manchin/Raese too early
They've called it for Rubio in Florida. He's one to watch in the future.
ReplyDeleteOH MY GOD!!! THe trifecta Chris, Keith, and Rachel on MSNBC! Help me!
ReplyDeleteIsakson in Georgia projected to win
ReplyDeleteI'm just stopping by to say that I have been watching for about an hour but I have to head off to bed early with my sorrrrrrre back and possible flu. Will check first thing in the am.
ReplyDeleteI've been watching y'all
Nikki Haley in NOrth Carolina is projected to win
ReplyDeleteOh and they keep blathering on about how the Rep. are feeding on our own.
DARSKI!!! Feel better!
ReplyDeleteRob Portman in Ohio projected to win.
ReplyDeleteBev, Who says Haley?
ReplyDeleteScott is leading in Florida for Gov,
ReplyDeleteHere's a good question: Why are people calling the CT and DE races when there are no results in yet?
ReplyDeleteHurt Perriello in Virginia - House Hurt projected to win. 3 other districts may be pick ups in VA.
ReplyDeleteT_Rav, it's about exit polls. When it gets overwhelming enough, and some of the result confirm that (we don't always get the results as quickly as others), they will call a race.
ReplyDeleteAndrew: Everything I am getting is from MSNBC (God help me...)
ReplyDeleteNC Burr to win 55%
It's funny. a year ago the "Tea Party" could get arrested. Now we're driving the bus as per MSNBC,
ReplyDeleteMost of you get to have all the fun (the joy of victory, the agony of defeat). I'm stuck out here on the west coast with what will likely be close races, and our polls don't close until 11 PM in California (2 AM Eastern Time). You easterners will probably know the results from the west coast before I do, since I plan on passing out around 4 AM.
ReplyDelete1 House flip for the Dems, 2 for the Republicans in the House
ReplyDeleteT-Rav,
ReplyDeleteRemember they called Florida for Gore and Bush eventually won.
Exciting times are ahead.
I certainly hope so, Joel. This is just a little annoying, plus there're some trolls on the Big sites crowing about O'Donnell supposedly going down.
ReplyDeleteIt looks like we took the Arkansas Senate seat away for the Democrats.
ReplyDeleteI meant from the Democrats, obviously.
ReplyDeleteDemocrats won in WVa... I was afraid of that.
ReplyDeleteBUT... Grayson lost!!!!
Bye Blanche!
ReplyDeleteDear West Virginia: Please stop being addicted to meth.
I cheered when I first heard that the loathsome Grayson lost. A bit disappointed that Raese lost to Manchin. Manchin is a decent enough guy, but that's a "D" in the Senate caucus I'd have loved to pick up. So--that means in order to win the Senate, we have to win both California and Washington, a very unlikely result. BUT--Yes we can, I still have hope.
ReplyDeleteT-Rav, You're asking a LOT of them to stop the meth.
ReplyDeletelooks like ciro rodriquez (d-tx) is gonna fall. HOLY MOLY!
ReplyDeletePatti, That would be AWESOME! I love that video you posted about him.
ReplyDeleteI just couldn't do it. I had to turn off MSNBC...it wasn't worth it. I started worrying that my head was going to explode.
ReplyDeleteFirst victory speech...Rand Paul.
Looks like Dan Coats of Indiana, Rand Paul of Kentucky and Jim DeMint of South Carolina are new Republican senators.
ReplyDeleteMy quick tally at this point in the House is one loss, seven gains, for a net gain of six. That will change rapidly in the next hour.
ReplyDeleteRepublican Larry Bucshon has won southwestern Indiana's 8th district, giving the GOP a U.S. House seat that Democrats have held the last four years. This was the seat Brad Ellsworth gave up only to be stomped into oblivion by Dan Coats. Wait... was that gloating? Sorry.
ReplyDelete;-)
This just in "Republican Todd Young has defeated five-term Democratic Rep. Baron Hill in southern Indiana's 9th district, dealing Democrats a second loss in congressional seats they held in the state."
The AFL-CIO is already taking credit for the Manchin victory in West Virginia, and the unions are preparing to call in their markers. I hope Manchin can demonstrate enough integrity to resist their advances. It'a an interesting dichotomy. Manchin has stood against cap 'n tax, and the unions desperately need the work in the coal mines. Yet the powers-that-be in the Democratic Party want to kill the coal industry with cap 'n tax. I truly wonder how that is going to play out.
ReplyDeleteFox is projecting 60 seats pick up in House - Repub will take the majority.
ReplyDeleteThe Fox News model is now predicting a final net pickup of 60 seats for the Republicans in the House. I'm not sure they can be that accurate, but it's already higher than what I predicted.
ReplyDeleteI'll just say it, I will be somewhat disappointed if we only pick up 60 seats in the House.
ReplyDeleteWell,
ReplyDeleteAt 90% precints in and O'Donnell only at 40%, I was wrong about her. She got a lot of play, but in the end, she lost. Too bad. It would have been a perfect day!! As it is, it is a Great Day!!!
Night guys.
USArtguy, They've been watching Indiana as a huge bellweather and it seems to be tilting to the Republicans pretty hard.
ReplyDeleteI think that things should start to pick up now for the Republicans now that we're away from the coast.
T_Rav, I would be disappointed too, sort of. I actually think that not winning the Senate is a good thing.
Wow. Rubio is giving his victory speech. I predict he will be President one day...
ReplyDeleteBev, A lot of people say that.
ReplyDeleteAlso, watch for cold weather tomorrow, I am agreeing with Bob Beckle for the first time ever. He says the Republicans blew it at the end by not having a good agenda -- and that's cost them 30+ additional seats.
Yeah, Andrew, I remember your thoughts about that from this summer. I see your point, but as toxic as the Democrats were supposed to be this year, it really bothers me that we won't appear to pull out more of a win. Maybe it's just a lesson for me not to set my expectations too high.
ReplyDeleteIt looks to me like the deep blue states all came close to even, but ultimately stayed blue. So I think Reid might win and I think California is lost.
ReplyDeleteBut the red states seem to be sweeping further right.
It's not enough to have the right message if you can't defend it. So we didn't pick up some seats because we didn't have a coherent message, and we lost at least one seat (O'Donnell) because she wasn't able to work with the establishment Republicans, she didn't have a message, and she couldn't articulate what she stood for even though her Tea Party credentials are in line with the majority of how Americans feel. Message and articulate candidates are a winning combination.
ReplyDeleteNow I'm stuck with watching the Midwest gaining Republicans and increasing the rising tide, but also have to watch the tide recede as it gets farther west. My prayer is that I'll wake up tomorrow morning and find that California and Washington saved us.
T_Rav, I think the problem is that when people are looking at who to support it only goes so far to say "we're not them."
ReplyDeleteIn that case, there is nothing for people to move beyond their self-interest, which means that they will continue to vote for whoever is offering them the most goodies.
It looks like all the Democrats who flipped on Obamacare from NO to YES are being knocked out.
ReplyDeleteAnd it looks like PA is going to the right in everywhere except Senate (so far).
On the plus side, looks like Ike Skelton in Missouri and Travis Childers in Mississippi are both losing. That takes the edge off my disappointment a bit.
ReplyDeleteT_Rav, It looks like the end of the Democrats in the South. Sadly, they've survived in the big cities, on the coasts, and we'll see about the West.
ReplyDeleteThis election feels disappointing because of the Senate and because the numbers are moving up so slowly, but when you realize how many governorships we're winning, that we're headed to 60 seats in the House, and that we have to get through the dark blue northeast before we can move into better country, this is really a huge Republican sweep.
out of class in time for the good news!!
ReplyDeleteand I only lasted on MSNBC fo about 2 minutes - Madow nearly made my head explode!
I think I saw that Chet Edwards lost his seat (D-Waco) - that's pretty amazing!!!
Right now, I'm just hoping Toomey can pull out a win in PA. Given that most of the remaining precincts are in the rural part of the state, I think he can get a win, but this is a lot closer than it ought to be.
ReplyDeleteT_Rav, I'm encouraged that all of the House races are flipping Republican, but we'll see.
ReplyDeleterlaWTX, Yes, they said that! Awesome isn't it?
Woooooooo Hooooooooooo --- Wisconsin!!
Hallelujah, praise the Lord. Feingold is O.U.T. Nickey Haley is expected to win her governorship.
ReplyDeleteColorado looks like a disappointment...hopefully all the returns are coming in from Denver and Boulder...maybe the rural counties will bring it around? We should be getting some results in AZ soon...
ReplyDeleteJohn Spratt, the House Budget Committee Chairman just went down, the first chairman to go down.
ReplyDeleteTam, I don't know what's wrong with my state. Maybe we should nuke Denver? Whoa, did I say that? Move along... nothing to see here.
Andrew: While you're at it, could you have the plane make grand rounds and hit L.A. and S.F.?
ReplyDeleteBoxer and Moonbeam won.
ReplyDeleteIt looks like the Democrats are going to hold on in every major election in California. I now declare California hopeless.
ReplyDeleteOn the up side, the Democrat who holds the seat in my Congressional district is projected to lose to the Republican.
Andrew, it looks like Toomey and Kirk may pull it out after all. Also, can that plane of yours do tactical strikes?
ReplyDeleteColorado isn't out yet.... they haven't counted a single vote from El Paso county -- my county. That's overwhelmingly Republicans!!!!
ReplyDeleteGo BUCK!!!
T_Rav, If it can't I'm sure we can work on it. ;-)
ReplyDeleteIf I can get any comfort out of the projected results in California, it's just that my old county in San Francisco, Democrats won every major partisan office. In my new County of Kern, Republicans have won all but one of the major partisan offices. At least I have plenty of people around me who are not whooping it up over Brown and Whitman.
ReplyDeletePower failure in Nevada is causing a delay in voting and counting...hmmmmm.
ReplyDeleteMy apologies. The 11 PM poll closing in California was a one-time only exception made for certain counties in 2008. The polls in California officially closed at 8 PM tonight Pacific Time (11 PM Eastern Time). My bad.
ReplyDeleteUnfortunately, that doesn't change the ultimate result. Phooey.
Bev, It's easier to sneak fake ballots in in the dark.
ReplyDeleteFYI, Politico says +38 in the House....
Early returns in AZ look good, all our ballot issues look good except for one--early childhood programs. Medical marijuana is down so far, opting out of health care is winning, and ending affirmative action is winning, as well as keeping the secret ballot. How is that last one even a discussion? Damn unions.
ReplyDeleteIllinois Senate tilting back right
ReplyDeletePA tilting back to Toomey
I just got this message from a friend in Pennsylvania:
ReplyDelete"Oh man, Toomey may be pulling this off!! With 96% reporting, he's ahead 127,000 votes. He was only ahead 30,000 votes a half hour ago. Wooo!!!"
Tam, Great! And I couldn't agree more. Colorado's ballots are not going as well.
ReplyDeletedo you think that Boehner learned anything from this election? or will he feel like the center of the universe?
ReplyDeleteI'm with Tam - still waiting for returns in AZ.
ReplyDeleteAnd what's this about a power outage in Nevada?! Is Dirty Harry going around pulling out electrical plugs?? Figures.
Boehner is crying?
ReplyDeletemostly good tonight - things seem to be moving towards Toomey. My U.S. Rep got over 80% of the vote. It looks like Scott DeJarlais smoked Lincoln Davis.
ReplyDeleteTennessee's Governor elect, Bill Haslam may look and sound like Dana Carvey imitating George H.W. Bush, but he is a good man.
ABC has the good guys back in the majority of the House with 223-173 so far!
ReplyDeleteGabby Giffords is ahead, BLAST! Still early...only 9% reporting.
ReplyDeletePolitico says we are at 41!!!!
ReplyDelete(I'm going to stop updating for a while.)
Bev, I have no idea why he's crying, but it didn't play well in our house.
I'm happy for Boehner, Bev - glad he is showing some emotion. Hell, I was crying when Obamacare passed, but in a different way (l.o.l)
ReplyDeleteIt looks like another sleepless night for me.
ReplyDeleteSome changes?
I'm sorry about California, LawHawk.
What is Colorado thinking now?
If anyone's disappointed about how some of the Senate races are turning out (and I include myself in that category), I give you this link to Matthews really getting his at the hands of Michelle Bachmann:
ReplyDeletehttp://hotair.com/archives/2010/11/02/bachmann-to-matthews-hey-hows-that-tingly-thrill-now/
TX House district 27 (gulf coast/S TX): same guy has held seat since its creation in 1983 - and he's losing!
ReplyDeleteTX House 23 (part of Dallas & Tarrant counties): going R
If you are disappointed, they really laid out just how incredible this election is on Fox. There are things happening in the country that haven't happened since the Civil War!
ReplyDeleteBy the way, does anyone know if Pelosi is on suicide watch?
My Pittsburgh source just said that the local news are calling the race for Toomey!!!!!!!!
ReplyDeleteAndrew,
ReplyDeletePelosi has been hidden from the cameras.
She is in Denial and that isn't a river in Egypt.
"Pelosi has been hidden"
ReplyDeleteShe's searching for some medical marijuana right about now to lessen the sting, hee, hee...
Joel, I think she's in an emergency room right now getting her television set removed from her foot! :-)
ReplyDelete(Guys, I need to quit updating tonight before my brains explodes.)
yeah Toomey!
ReplyDeleteNV gov: Reid's son losing
MSNBC just called Kirk in Illinois!!!!!
ReplyDeleteToomey wins!!! WOOOHOOO!! This made my night. For a blue state, PA did very well tonight.
ReplyDeletesomeone is calling IL for Kirk
ReplyDelete'Night Andrew. No head 'sploding!
ReplyDeleteI didn't realize Kirk would be seated immediately - that's kinda awesome
ReplyDeleteOh, btw, Gillibrand won in NY, but just to officially finish out Clinton's term. She has to run again in 2012.
ReplyDeleteBev, I'm still around, I just can't keep updating the image -- which proved a lot harder than expected. Ug.
ReplyDeleteNews from the Left Coast. The Democrats are doing unfortunately well statewide. But as often happens, the ballot measures bear little relationship to the overall partisan elections.
ReplyDeleteProp 19 would have legalized marijuana in California. It's going down to defeat by 55%. How can people who are not high on pot elect Jerry Moonbeam Brown and Barbara "Call Me Senator" Boxer? It makes no sense.
Prop 20 is winning by about 55%. This is the measure which takes state and federal redistricting out of the hands of the professional politicians and puts it in the hands of a statewide bipartisan/nonpartisan commission. This measure will result in the loss in 2012 of many of the Democratic seats that were just won. It also means that the loon they just elected governor will have no say in redistricting.
Prop 23 was a popular initiative that would have suspended California's crazy green job-killers until unemployment went back to normal levels. It is losing by 61%. And California's official unemployment rate hovers at 12.4%.
Prop 25 allows the incompetent crooks in Sacramento to pass a budget by a simple majority, allowing for all kinds of voodoo accounting by the majority Democrats. Previously, a budget could only be passed by a 2/3 vote, which meant Republicans had a voice in the process. This idiocy is passing by 56%.
BUT: Prop 22 prohibits the same legislators from taking money from one budget item and spending it on another. It's winning by 64%. Apparently, voters don't care if the budget is crazy as long as they spend the money on the right crazy projects.
Finally, Prop 27 (aka The Pelosi Amendment) was the sneaky attempt by the Democrats to get rid of citizen redistricting commissions and put redistricting back into the hands of the professional politicians. If it had won, it would have destroyed all the good done by Prop 20. Fortunately, the good people of California saw through the scheme, and this proposition is going down by 61%.
@#%%$##%^&&^$##!!!!!!
ReplyDeleteFox News is projecting Harry Reid will win in Nevada.
$#^$^#@%#$$##%^!!!!!!!!!
Buck getting closer: only 9K behind
ReplyDeleteand I gotta go to bed - if I can stop jumping on it...
Fox calling NV for H Reid - blech
(but 30% reporting & only 30K difference??)
it's been fun, y'all!!!!!
I hate you Harry Reid.
ReplyDeleteAm I the only one who noticed that liberal states don't elect women?
ReplyDeleteJust a thought. . . O'Donnell, Angle, Whitman, Fiorina, McMahon...
Well, I guess Nevada proves the intelligence of voters who depend for their livelihood on gambling and prostitution. And ironically, the former industry is hurting badly. The world's oldest profession (prostitution, not politics) hasn't lost many employees, but income is down.
ReplyDeleteIt's said that a people gets the form of government it deserves, but I can't believe anyone deserves Harry Reid.
Andrew,
ReplyDeleteWhile I respect the will of the people, I don't respect a stolen election.
I am beginning to think some of these elections have been stolen.
I think the next two years we should concentrate on creating as many poll watchers as possible as well as getting people in position who judge the equipment to be used during the elections.
There is something wrong in Nevada. I just don't get how Rasmussen could be so off. It would mean that Rasmussen was off 10points. They had Angle up 4%.
ReplyDeleteBev,
ReplyDeleteThat is what I am talking about.
Polls can't be that wrong.
Well, there's some good news. The one Democrat who was winning in my electoral district is now running behind, and the Republican vote is growing.
ReplyDeleteIn the Washington Senate race, it's still Murray by 51-49, but nobody's calling it yet.
Hello all!
ReplyDeleteKen Buck is now leading by 1%.
Make that 3% & 30K with 73% reporting.
ReplyDeleteOk, for everyone wondering about Nevada, MSNBC is reportedly saying that Reid won 90% of the Hispanic vote. There is NO WAY that happened without...
ReplyDeletePonderosa, When they said that nothing from El Paso county had come in, I knew this thing was going to turn around! Go Colorado Springs!!
ReplyDeleteT_Rav, I believe the word you are missing is "cheating" or maybe you meant "fraud."
ReplyDeleteT-Rav,
ReplyDeleteFinish your thought.
I think something stinks to high heaven in Nevada.
Buck looks to be winning in Colorado. Good for you Andrew!!!
A couple of our Arizona races are taking a left turn...Giffords in my district and Grijalva are both leading. It's still pretty close, I'm not ready to throw in the towel.
ReplyDeleteAndrew: you said that liberals don't elect women... you're right, Boxer definitely is NOT a lady.
ReplyDeleteI think Issa should concentrate on voting issues. Starting with Nevada.
ReplyDeleteHmmm...Fraud? Cheating? Yeah, those all sound good. I want everyone to keep on this for the next two years, if Reid has in fact "won," because if he goes back to the Senate, we need to completely destroy his legitimacy.
ReplyDeleteBy the way, the results in Alaska are coming in, and Miller is behind "Total Write-In," 34% to 39%. Here we go...
The odd thing about Alaska is that there are over 100 write-in candidates.
ReplyDeleteStill, Miller has to win tonight to seal the deal!!
Sadly, I have to leave you. It's no fair being in the Northeast. 'Nite comrades!
ReplyDeleteFYI -
Something stinks in Nevada...
Joel and T_Rav, I think we need to overhaul the election system. Everything from the poll monitoring to the machines to creating vote buying units, etc. It's a disgrace that there is even a hint of illegitimacy. . . or actual illegitimacy, as there appears to be in Nevada.
ReplyDeleteTam, Think happy thoughts... think happy thoughts.... Colorado has turned out pretty well after a poor start (so far at least).
Joel,
ReplyDeleteMurkowski has already said she would caucus with the Republicans, so either way
Bev, . . . and it's not just smelly union thugs.
ReplyDeleteGood night!
Night Bev, and I agree with you. Something does stink in Nevada.
ReplyDeleteJesse Kelly is closing the gap on Giffords...pleaseohplease...
ReplyDeleteI noticed that Colorado is holding back on the reporting. Arizona has more people and yet has turned in more.
ReplyDeleteI think that there are shenanigens being perpetrated in Colorado.
Well, I was going to give you all one last report on California before I called it a day. But the Secretary of State's site went down and we won't see any more official results until tomorrow morning So rather than give you uncertain results, I'll just say we gave it a helluva fight, got close, but close only counts in horseshoes. See you all in the morning.
ReplyDeleteJoel, apparently 30,000 votes were mistakenly put in Buck's column instead of Bennet's column in Boulder County. I don't think that in itself is fraud, because supposedly Buck was winning that county and it usually goes Democratic by double-digits. Buck still has a razor-thin lead overall; it's gonna be close.
ReplyDeleteBy the way, neither Angle, nor Fiorina, nor Whitman is conceding their races, nor should they. CA could still be winnable, and NV was stolen.
I'm sticking around T-Rav.
ReplyDeleteI know something is wrong in Nevada. Why would Reid win and his son didn't?
I also know that Alaska can't be that stupid and near-sided with regards to Lisa.
T-Rav,
ReplyDeleteI also know that Coons wasn't that popular. He won by 50,000. That makes him 16 pts ahead of O'Donnell. She was about 10 pts behind. Why did she lose by 6 pts more? I don't buy it.
Jeez, Joel, I hope we're not the last two standing.
ReplyDeleteI really hope Angle stirs up a storm about all this. There is no way that all these polls were up by so much and then these Senate candidates start losing.
We probably won't know anything definite about Alaska until tomorrow--er, today. The write-ins (read: Murkowski) are still up over Miller, though the rural part of the state is still up. I don't know if that's good or bad.
By the way, Harry hogged all those illegals' votes for himself and didn't give any to his son? Rather selfish of him.
T-Rav,
ReplyDeleteI can't sleep now. I am looking at Alaska's live stuff from Townhall.
http://election.townhall.com/election-2010/state/AK/
Joel, I've gotta crash. I've been up and looking at this stuff on and off for 17 hours now, and my nerves can't handle it anymore. If I look at anything else about Alaska right now, it's just going to make my stomach hurt. I'll be back on in the morning, but until then, good night and good luck.
ReplyDeleteNight T-Rav.
ReplyDeleteGoodbye Pelosi! Geez, perhaps I will not have flip off the news channel so much now....I'm proud of the blog and it's participants. Every truth counts.
ReplyDelete